Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 10?
Closes April 10, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -0.8pp below current market price; market at 92% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.2% ↓, ETH -0.3% ↓, S&P -0.1% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$15K
Liquidity
$29K
Bid / Ask
92% / 93%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
93%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 10?" at 93% YES / 7% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 93%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 10?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 93%, NO 7%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1846084
This event has 27 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 9?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 9?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 9?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 10?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
94% YES
Apr 8, 2026
Current
94% YES (+2.0pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.5%
EV per $ wagered
-6.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this