Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6?
Closes April 6, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$39K
Liquidity
$24K
Bid / Ask
4% / 4%
Spread
0.50pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $39K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1792523
This event has 35 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 4?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 4?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 4?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
4% YES
Apr 4, 2026
Current
4% YES (+0.1pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this