Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 5?
Closes April 5, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$10K
Liquidity
$17K
Bid / Ask
100% / 100%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 5?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1777577
This event has 56 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 4?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 4?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 5?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 5?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
49%
Mar 29, 2026
Biggest move: +47.0pp
49% → 96%
Mar 29, 2026
Peak probability
100% YES — highest in period
Apr 3, 2026
Current
100% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 3, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this