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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 8?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 8?

Closes April 8, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
36%FIS
3ppvs market 40%
overpriced

ForecastMind sees this -3.4pp below current market price; market at 40% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.9% ↓, ETH -1.5% ↓, S&P -0.1% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC -0.9% ↓, ETH -1.5% ↓, S&P -0.1% ↓
-3.4pp
Live compute01:53 PM

Polymarket Price

38%YES
62%NO

Volume 24h

$10K

Liquidity

$22K

Bid / Ask

37% / 39%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

33%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-13.0pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 8?" at 38% YES / 62% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 33%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 8?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 38%, NO 62%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1817342

Outcome Markets36 markets

This event has 36 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 7?: 100%.

price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 8?

38%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+3.5pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 38%99%
Buy YES@ 38¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 62¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this