Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 9?
Closes April 9, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -0.8pp below current market price; market at 3% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -1.2% ↓, ETH -1.5% ↓, S&P -0.5% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$17K
Bid / Ask
1% / 4%
Spread
2.90pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 9?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 2.90 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 9?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1831396
This event has 36 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 7?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 9?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
4% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Current
3% YES (+0.2pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+7.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this