Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$7K
Liquidity
$3K
Bid / Ask
28% / 29%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
28%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?" at 28% YES / 72% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 28%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 28%, NO 72%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1813639
This event has 24 active outcome markets. Trump say "Nuclear" during Address to the Nat: 97%, Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation: 92%, Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Addres: 88%.
Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during A
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
34% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Trough probability
28% YES — lowest in period
Apr 1, 2026
Current
28% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-1.8%
EV per $ wagered
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this