Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$15K
Liquidity
$5K
Bid / Ask
5% / 7%
Spread
1.10pp
Expert Signal
6%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 1.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1813643
This event has 24 active outcome markets. Trump say "Nuclear" during Address to the Nat: 97%, Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation: 92%, Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Addres: 88%.
Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
7% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Current
7% YES (+0.4pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.8%
EV per $ wagered
-0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this