Will Trump say "Tube" this week? (April 12)
Closes April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$97
Bid / Ask
30% / 81%
Spread
51.00pp
Expert Signal
56%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump say "Tube" this week? (April 12)" at 56% YES / 44% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 56%. The bid-ask spread is 51.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Will Trump say "Tube" this week? (April 12)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 56%, NO 44%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1847734
This event has 12 active outcome markets. Trump say "Common Sense" or "Commonsense" thi: 82%, Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (April 12): 79%, Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" or "Predi: 68%.
Trump say "Tube" this week? (April 12)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
67% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Trough probability
48% YES — lowest in period
Apr 7, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
48%
Apr 7, 2026
Biggest move: -18.5pp
67% → 48%
Apr 7, 2026
Current
53% YES (+1.5pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this