Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Closes January 1, 2027
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$33K
Liquidity
$17K
Bid / Ask
7% / 8%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
8%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
34 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
8% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Current
8% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 29, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+6.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?" at 8% YES / 92% NO. In the last 24 hours, $33K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 8%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 8%, NO 92%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/906597
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