Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
Closes April 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$19K
Liquidity
$7K
Bid / Ask
93% / 97%
Spread
3.80pp
Expert Signal
95%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $19K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 95%. The bid-ask spread is 3.80 percentage points. The market closes on April 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1706371
This event has 42 active outcome markets. April 30, 2026: 99%, April 30, 2026: 94%, April 14, 2026: 94%.
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
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