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Markets/Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 3?
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Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 3?

Closes April 4, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$9K

Liquidity

$13K

Bid / Ask

1% / 3%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 3?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 3?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1839903

Outcome Markets63 markets

This event has 63 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 3?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 3?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 3?: 100%.

Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 3?

1%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-2.2pp

Key Moments

First recorded

3% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Current

1% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this