Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 3?
Closes April 4, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$12K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
0% / 2%
Spread
1.10pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 3?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 3?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1839902
This event has 56 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 4?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 4?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 5?: 100%.
Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 3?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
7% YES
Apr 3, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 3, 2026
Biggest move: -5.3pp
7% → 1%
Apr 3, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 3, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this