Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?
Closes April 20, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +0.7pp above current market price; market at 15% may be underpriced with macro signals showing ETH +0.6% ↑, S&P +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$41K
Liquidity
$31K
Bid / Ask
15% / 15%
Spread
0.20pp
Expert Signal
15%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?" at 15% YES / 85% NO. In the last 24 hours, $41K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 15%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 20, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 15%, NO 85%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1965057
This event has 35 active outcome markets. Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14?: 98%, Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 92%, XRP reach $1.40 in April?: 82%.
Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
3% YES
Apr 13, 2026
Biggest move: +8.1pp
7% → 15%
Apr 13, 2026
Peak probability
18% YES — highest in period
Apr 14, 2026
Current
15% YES (-2.0pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this