Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 13-19?
Closes April 20, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$22K
Liquidity
$32K
Bid / Ask
0% / 1%
Spread
0.40pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 13-19?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $22K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on April 20, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 13-19?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1965052
This event has 40 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 13?: 100%, Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 13-19?: 83%, Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 74%.
Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 13-19?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
6% YES
Apr 13, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 13, 2026
Current
2% YES (-0.2pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+29.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this