Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 5?
Closes April 5, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$29K
Liquidity
$24K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 5?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $29K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1777504
This event has 35 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 4?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 4?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 4?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 5?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
0% YES
Apr 4, 2026
Current
0% YES (-0.1pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this