Will XRP reach $1.40 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$7K
Liquidity
$15K
Bid / Ask
81% / 82%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
82%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will XRP reach $1.40 in April?" at 82% YES / 18% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 82%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will XRP reach $1.40 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 82%, NO 18%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823905
This event has 35 active outcome markets. Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14?: 98%, Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 93%, XRP reach $1.40 in April?: 82%.
XRP reach $1.40 in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
73% YES
Apr 13, 2026
Biggest move: +10.5pp
73% → 84%
Apr 13, 2026
Peak probability
85% YES — highest in period
Apr 14, 2026
Current
82% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this