Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 9?
Closes April 10, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$12K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
0% / 2%
Spread
2.10pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 9?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 2.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 9?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1924242
This event has 30 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 72%, Solana reach $90 in April?: 66%, Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?: 56%.
Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 9?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Current
1% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-25.9%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this