Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 9?
Closes April 10, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +6.5pp above current market price; market at 4% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +2.4% ↑, ETH +1.8% ↑, S&P +0.7% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$33K
Liquidity
$16K
Bid / Ask
3% / 3%
Spread
0.40pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 9?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $33K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 9?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1924243
This event has 30 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 9?: 100%, Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 76%, Solana reach $90 in April?: 68%.
Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 9?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
3% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Current
2% YES (+0.2pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-10.1%
EV per $ wagered
+0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this