Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 10?
Closed April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$17K
Liquidity
$10K
Bid / Ask
0% / 1%
Spread
0.90pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 10?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.90 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 10?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1933599
This event has 70 active outcome markets. Bitcoin Up or Down on April 10?: 100%, Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3PM ET: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 11: 100%.
Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 10?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
5% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+8.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this