Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 10?
Closes April 11, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +5.6pp above current market price; market at 4% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +1.8% ↑, ETH +2.7% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$37K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
3% / 5%
Spread
2.10pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 10?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $37K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 2.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 10?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1933600
This event has 29 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 75%, Solana reach $90 in April?: 65%, Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?: 56%.
Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 10?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
5% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Current
1% YES (-3.4pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+5.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this