Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 10?
Closes April 11, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +6.0pp above current market price; market at 5% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +2.0% ↑, ETH +2.7% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$35K
Liquidity
$13K
Bid / Ask
4% / 6%
Spread
1.60pp
Expert Signal
5%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 10?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $35K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 1.60 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 10?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1933600
This event has 70 active outcome markets. Bitcoin Up or Down on April 10?: 100%, Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3PM ET: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 11: 100%.
Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 10?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
5% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Current
3% YES (+0.2pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-2.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this