Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Closed December 31, 2025
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$47K
Bid / Ask
12% / 13%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
13%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?" at 13% YES / 87% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 13%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2025.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 13%, NO 87%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1299187
This event has 40 active outcome markets. Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?: 100%, Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?: 100%, Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?: 100%.
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
14% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Current
13% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+4.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this