MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Closes June 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$10K
Liquidity
$53K
Bid / Ask
2% / 2%
Spread
0.50pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/556063
This event has 40 active outcome markets. Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?: 100%, Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?: 100%, Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?: 100%.
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Current
2% YES (+0.1pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-2.4%
EV per $ wagered
+0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this