Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 9?
Closes April 10, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$70K
Liquidity
$34K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 9?" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $70K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 9?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1924245
This event has 30 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 9?: 99%, Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 72%, Solana reach $90 in April?: 66%.
Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 9?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
33% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Trough probability
20% YES — lowest in period
Apr 9, 2026
Biggest move: -27.9pp
48% → 20%
Apr 9, 2026
Peak probability
48% YES — highest in period
Apr 9, 2026
Current
28% YES (-6.1pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this