Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
Closes December 31, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +0.6pp above current market price; market at 15% may be underpriced with macro signals showing VIX +2.8% ↑, S&P +0.3% ↑, DXY -0.1% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$63
Liquidity
$23K
Bid / Ask
14% / 16%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
15%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?" at 15% YES / 85% NO. In the last 24 hours, $63 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 15%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 15%, NO 85%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/692299
This event has 44 active outcome markets. Josh Hawley announce a presidential run befor: 19%, J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run bef: 17%, Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run bef: 16%.
J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this