Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Closes December 31, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -1.5pp below current market price; market at 8% may be overpriced with macro signals showing VIX -2.7% ↓, S&P +1.0% ↑, DXY +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$79
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
6% / 10%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
8%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2027?" at 8% YES / 92% NO. In the last 24 hours, $79 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 8%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 8%, NO 92%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/692285
This event has 40 active outcome markets. Josh Hawley announce a presidential run befor: 19%, Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run be: 16%, J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run bef: 16%.
Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this