Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?
Closes December 31, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +0.9pp above current market price; market at 13% may be underpriced with macro signals showing VIX +2.5% ↑, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$12K
Liquidity
$10K
Bid / Ask
12% / 14%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
13%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?" at 13% YES / 87% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 13%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 13%, NO 87%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/692313
This event has 53 active outcome markets. Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run befo: 28%, Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run be: 22%, Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before: 19%.
Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?
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Price History
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
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