Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12?
Closes April 12, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +5.8pp above current market price; market at 80% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +2.0% ↑, ETH +2.9% ↑, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$16K
Liquidity
$24K
Bid / Ask
80% / 81%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
81%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12?" at 76% YES / 24% NO. In the last 24 hours, $16K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 81%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 76%, NO 24%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1879422
This event has 69 active outcome markets. Bitcoin Up or Down on April 10?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 11: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 11: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 12?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
78% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Trough probability
72% YES — lowest in period
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: -7.0pp
79% → 72%
Apr 10, 2026
Current
77% YES (+4.5pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this