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Markets/Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?
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Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?

Market Price

8%YES

FM Estimate

8%
NO92%
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$22K
Bid / Ask6% / 10%
Spread4.00pp
ClosesMay 10, 2026
Macro fundamentals+1.6pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp

low confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

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✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?" at 8% YES / 92% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 8%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00pp. The market closes on May 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-22). "Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 8%, NO 92%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2047141