Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 30?
Market Price
FM Estimate
low confidence · 2 signals
Wikipedia Attention
This event has 25 active outcome markets. May 15, 2026: 73%, May 5, 2026: 58%, April 30, 2026: 46%.
next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 30?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 30?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 1.70pp. The market closes on May 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-22). "Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2047145