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Markets/US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
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US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?

Market Price

32%YES

FM Estimate

30%
NO68%
Vol 24h$430
Liquidity$15K
Bid / Ask30% / 33%
Spread3.00pp
ClosesApr 26, 2026
Macro fundamentals-2.4pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp

low confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

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✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?" at 32% YES / 68% NO. In the last 24 hours, $430 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 30%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00pp. The market closes on April 26, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-22). "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 32%, NO 68%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2047409