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Markets/US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
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US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?

Market Price

19%YES

FM Estimate

17%
NO81%
Vol 24h$11K
Liquidity$21K
Bid / Ask18% / 20%
Spread2.00pp
ClosesApr 25, 2026
Macro fundamentals-2.7pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp

low confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate
-6.0pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?" at 19% YES / 81% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 18%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on April 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-22). "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 19%, NO 81%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2047408