US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Market Price
FM Estimate
low confidence · 2 signals
Wikipedia Attention
This event has 25 active outcome markets. May 15, 2026: 72%, May 5, 2026: 63%, April 30, 2026: 44%.
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?" at 72% YES / 28% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 72%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on May 15, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-22). "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 72%, NO 28%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2047424