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Markets/US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
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US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?

Market Price

43%YES

FM Estimate

41%
NO57%
Vol 24h$235
Liquidity$26K
Bid / Ask40% / 45%
Spread5.00pp
ClosesApr 28, 2026
Macro fundamentals-2.7pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp

low confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

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✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?" at 43% YES / 57% NO. In the last 24 hours, $235 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 42%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00pp. The market closes on April 28, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-22). "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 43%, NO 57%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2047411