ForecastMind
Markets/US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Share on X

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?

Market Price

42%YES

FM Estimate

39%
NO58%
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$32K
Bid / Ask37% / 42%
Spread5.00pp
ClosesApr 28, 2026
Historical patterns-1.0pp

low confidence · 1 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Price History · 30 days

Export CSV

Price History

MarketFM Estimate
+0.0pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?" at 42% YES / 58% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 38%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00pp. The market closes on April 28, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-22). "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 42%, NO 58%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2047411