Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Closes December 31, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -1.4pp below current market price; market at 17% may be overpriced with macro signals showing VIX -1.3% ↓, S&P -0.2% ↓, DXY -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$400
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
15% / 19%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
17%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?" at 17% YES / 83% NO. In the last 24 hours, $400 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 17%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 17%, NO 83%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/692281
This event has 49 active outcome markets. Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before: 34%, Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run bef: 25%, Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run befo: 23%.
Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?
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Price History
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this